To varying degrees across Colombia’s regions, the presence of armed groups is correlated with this fire upsurge. We find that Colombia’s lockdown is associated with an increase in forest fires compared to three different counterfactuals, constructed to simulate the expected number of fires in the absence of the lockdown. This article examines the impact of Colombia’s lockdown on forest fires, motivated by satellite data showing a particularly large upsurge of fires at around the time of lockdown implementation. Designed to slow the spread of the disease, lockdowns have unintended consequences for the environment. A common policy response to covid-19 outbreaks has been the lockdown or quarantine. The covid-19 pandemic led to rapid and large-scale government intervention in economies and societies.
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